Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1.640412 1.876058 2.134912 2.440573 2.791940 3.183554 3.653628
2025-08-17 1.226213 1.515594 1.859746 2.300017 2.849532 3.514399 4.382389
2025-08-24 0.993055 1.310614 1.714544 2.267788 3.008744 3.970931 5.321947
2025-08-31 0.819811 1.145021 1.583469 2.220741 3.128486 4.382790 6.260976
2025-09-07 0.732572 1.076360 1.564674 2.313436 3.441125 5.089754 7.707706
2025-09-14 0.649432 0.998239 1.517280 2.352236 3.674365 5.708184 9.114433
2025-09-21 0.569203 0.911094 1.441589 2.332722 3.809352 6.188407 10.371349
2025-09-28 0.490114 0.813699 1.335137 2.246112 3.819242 6.463017 11.322994
2025-10-05 0.460665 0.792324 1.346712 2.352903 4.161799 7.329808 13.413439
2025-10-12 0.435342 0.773984 1.359834 2.461990 4.520096 8.268039 15.770154
2025-10-19 0.404720 0.742002 1.344439 2.516365 4.783809 9.066779 17.980757
2025-10-26 0.374988 0.707648 1.319966 2.549337 5.009140 9.819458 20.209445
2025-11-02 0.333212 0.646969 1.241878 2.474195 5.023339 10.183188 21.748056
2025-11-09 0.290970 0.580289 1.144401 2.347915 4.917158 10.290567 22.765528
2025-11-16 0.264993 0.542785 1.099735 2.323569 5.020041 10.847960 24.866743
2025-11-23 0.240205 0.504666 1.049155 2.279798 5.074455 11.307911 26.822468
2025-11-30 0.230923 0.497966 1.062966 2.377544 5.457316 12.554123 30.853280
2025-12-07 0.217592 0.480848 1.052312 2.418809 5.715941 13.551697 34.446626
2025-12-14 0.200872 0.454190 1.017462 2.399432 5.827649 14.215485 37.304659
2025-12-21 0.180946 0.417915 0.956720 2.310613 5.757027 14.421439 38.991398
2025-12-28 0.176309 0.416695 0.976666 2.420797 6.201864 15.993713 44.679389
2026-01-04 0.171913 0.415507 0.996488 2.533271 6.669153 17.695468 51.046583
2026-01-11 0.164389 0.405788 0.994466 2.589345 6.994759 19.067470 56.709780